The Mount: Week 10 Previews and Predictions

Week 10 of the NCAA gymnastics season is packed with high-stakes matchups, postseason implications, and thrilling showdowns across all divisions. From Oklahoma’s continued dominance to tight battles for NCGA nationals qualification, every routine counts as teams look to solidify their standings. Whether you’re tuning in for a potential upset, a top-ranked clash, or a conference championship race, we’re diving into the biggest matchups of the week and what to expect.

Must-Watch Meets

Michigan at Oklahoma

Friday, March 7 at 8:30 p.m. ET | SECN+

Prediction: 99.9% Oklahoma, 0.1% Michigan

With a lock on the No. 1 spot, the real question for Oklahoma is whether or not it will crack 198 this week. The Sooners return home after two weeks on the road and will be looking for yet another high score to boost their NQS. Last week, Michigan recorded its lowest total since week two. Currently outside the top 16 teams that will receive a regionals seed, Michigan will be hoping for a high 196 or, preferably, a 197. Beam inconsistencies have been an issue for the Wolverines, and on Oklahoma’s home turf, they will need to be perfect.

Notes about the predictions: Oklahoma should have no problem cruising past this Michigan team. The Sooners have almost a 100% chance of winning, and we see a 78% chance of them doing so by over a point. Both teams individually, however, will be trying to improve their NQS. For Oklahoma, another counting score would be a 197.850 or higher, which the Sooners have a 77% chance of reaching. For Michigan, our simulations give it a 67% chance of its score reaching 196.575 or higher, which gives the Wolverines a chance to reach the all-important No. 16 rank.

NCGA-East Regional

Saturday, March 8 at 1 p.m. ET | Live stream (free)

Prediction: 83.7% Brockport, 11.5% Rhode Island College, 2.7% Cortland, 1.6% Ithaca, 0.3% Ursinus, 0.1% Utica, 0.1% Springfield 

Brockport will play host to the NCGA-East regional, where it is the favorite to win and secure a trip to the NCGA national championships. Should Brockport pull off the feat, it would be the team’s fifth-straight title. Cortland and Rhode Island College are the biggest threats to Brockport; but more importantly, the top two teams today will automatically qualify to nationals with the remaining teams known after the WIAC championship concludes. RIC struggled on bars last weekend and will want to aim to minimize errors on the remaining events to add some cushioning in scores. The Cortland beam squad will need to keep its nerves in check to do the same. 

Notes about the predictions: Brockport has a high likelihood of walking away with its fifth-straight regional win and automatically qualifying to NCGA nationals. However, the second automatic qualifier is less certain. RIC is the next most likely team to advance with a 63% chance. Cortland and Ithaca are looking to pull off an upset, with a 21% and 15% chance of grabbing the second spot, respectively. Ursinus could also have a chance, with a 5% chance of advancing that could increase to 15% if it can score a 47 or higher on bars, like it did two meets ago.

WIAC Championship

Saturday, March 8 at 1:30 p.m. and 7 p.m. ET | Live stream (free)

Prediction: 40.1% UW-Oshkosh, 37.3% UW-Whitewater, 21.8% UW-La Crosse, 0.3% UW-Stout, 0.1% Winona State, 0.1% Simpson, 0.1% UW-Eau Claire, 0.1% Gustavus Adolphus, 0.1% Hamline

The WIAC championship takes on a new format this year with an afternoon session and an evening session. The top two teams will be granted an automatic spot at the NCGA championships. Earlier in the season, Oshkosh looked like an easy lock for the title, but after some inconsistency at away meets, Whitewater is nipping at its heels and doesn’t look to be slowing down anytime soon. La Crosse, the host team, is not completely out of it either, especially with the home crowd advantage. If Whitewater or Oshkosh have an off day, teams like La Crosse or even Stout could slide in there and upset for a spot at nationals. 

Notes about the predictions: Oshkosh has the slight advantage to defend its conference title, largely due to higher predicted scores on beam, but Whitewater is having an extremely strong season and has a 37% chance of taking home its first conference championship in eight years. If Whitewater can put up the highest score on beam, its win chances skyrocket to 72%. If both of these teams falter, look to La Crosse to be the likeliest team to pull off the upset. Winning on bars would give it a 51% chance of winning the conference championship. Whitewater and Oshkosh both have a 72% chance of receiving the two automatic bids to NCGA nationals from this regional, but La Crosse is poised to make a run for one of those automatic spots, with a 53% chance of qualifying automatically.

Elevate the Stage Huntsville

with Alabama, California, Michigan State, and North Carolina

Sunday, March 9 at 5 p.m. ET | ACCN

Prediction: 56.8% California, 23.5% Alabama, 19.6% Michigan State, 0.1% North Carolina

Alabama has its way back into the SEC championship thanks to a season high last week against Arkansas. With this being a double meet weekend for Alabama, the Crimson Tide can solidify a championship qualifying position with another strong meet. Michigan State was on track for yet another mid 197 last week until having to count a 9.550 on beam. Solidifying that event will be key for the Spartans. In the ACC, California and North Carolina are using this meet as their regular season matchup, and both teams will be looking to build upon recent performances to maintain strong positioning heading into the postseason.

Notes about the predictions: Michigan State’s prediction is lower than some might expect here. The Spartan’s win chances for this meet have declined steadily since week six, the last time they went above 49.200 on all four events. If they can produce a similarly consistent performance across all four, then Michigan State and California have equal chances of winning, each with 43%. Alabama has been on the rise, putting up impressive floor scores that haven’t dipped below 49.500 over the past four weeks. Continuing that trend gives the Crimson Tide a 34% chance of getting the W.

Stanford at UCLA

Sunday, March 9 at 8:30 p.m. ET | BTN

Prediction: 88.7% UCLA, 11.3% Stanford

UCLA is coming off of a Big Ten regular season championship-clinching meet. The Bruins are looking ahead to being a top seed at regionals, and will hope to further that push with a 198, which would be a season high. Stanford is sitting comfortably in second in the ACC, as well as in a seeded spot for regionals, but will be looking to use this away opportunity in a crazy atmosphere to drop one of the last 196 scores still factoring into its NQS. Stanford’s floor in particular was a highlight last weekend and is expected to be one again in Pauley Pavilion.

Notes about the predictions: UCLA has the advantage on all four events against Stanford, but if Stanford can get an event win on just one event its win chances increase to 25%. A second event win would bring it up to 44%. Bars and beam are the most likely pair of events for Stanford to win on—12% of our simulations show the Cardinal winning both events.

Upset Alert

Ohio State at N.C. State

Friday, March 7 at 7 p.m. ET | ACCNx

Prediction: 55.7% N.C. State, 44.3% Ohio State

N.C. State has been having a fantastic season but had a setback last week, as low-scoring beam and floor rotations led the Wolfpack to tie its season low and fall to both Denver and Iowa State. The team will be looking to bounce back at home against an Ohio State team that has been struggling to make an impact this season. Ohio State’s NQS counting scores are clustered close together, but a season high last week suggests things are moving in the right direction. The Buckeyes will need another season high to achieve any significant NQS boost.

Notes about the predictions: Ohio State has been plagued by injuries, making N.C. State the favorites to win this meet. JJ Coleman was seen in a boot last week and was removed from this week’s prediction because of that. However, having her back would give a slight edge back to Ohio State with a 52% chance of winning. Winning both vault and floor, even without Coleman’s strong scores, would give the Buckeyes a 57% chance of winning this meet.

Boise State at Southern Utah

Friday, March 7 at 9 p.m. ET | Live stream ($)

Prediction: 70.4% Southern Utah, 29.6% Boise State

After clinching the Mountain West regular season title last time out, Boise State looks to put itself into a better position for the postseason, with its first of two consecutive showdowns against Southern Utah this weekend. The Broncos started off 2025 slower than usual, but with Emily Lopez leading the way, they are peaking at the right time. A good road score here can give them a solid bump in NQS, especially if they take advantage of Southern Utah’s senior night. The Thunderbirds are coming off a season-high team score on the road, led by Niya Randolph’s 39.450 in the all-around. Southern Utah thrives at home, but Boise State has proved its resilience. If both teams are on, look for this to come down to the last routine. 

Notes about the predictions: Southern Utah scored a 49-plus on all four events last weekend for the second time this season. Doing so again would all but guarantee a win for the Thunderbirds, given them a 98% of winning this meet. Boise State, however, scored a season low on beam last weekend and will want to return to the 49-plus range to increase its win chances to 40%.

Wondering how we came up with the predictions for each meet? Read more about our methodology.

There’s Other Stuff Happening Too

We’d be remiss to let a preview for week 10 go by without bringing up these additional areas of interest.

• Alabama did what it needed to do to stay in the SEC race last week at Arkansas, earning a season-high 197.650 and passing the Razorbacks in NQS to avoid last place in the conference for now. While Alabama’s road scores remain more important from here on out, the Tide’s return home to face Florida tonight will still tell us a lot about the team and whether it looks poised to make a true surge going into the postseason. 
• The Tide has a double meet weekend at Elevate the Stage in Huntsville. Joining it will be North Carolina, California, and Michigan State. Arguably the most intriguing group to join the Tide is the Spartans, who show so much brilliance from week to week but can’t seem to shake their nerves on beam. A solid performance across all four events will help bolster the Spartans’ confidence and cement them as an undeniable nationals contender. 
• Utah is back after a bye last week, competing at Washington. It will be interesting to see if the week off helped facilitate Avery Neff’s improbable but impressive recovery and allow her to break into more lineups. 

Fantasy Corner

If you’re playing fantasy gymnastics this year, you want to do the best you can, right? We have you covered with tips and tricks all season long in Fantasy Central. Managing editor Emily Minehart and data editor Dara Tan will be bringing you the latest updates on injuries, scoring statistics, sneaky waiver wire targets, and more.

CGN Pick’em

Brandis (Last Week: 5-0; Overall: 32-13)

• NCGA-East Regional: Brockport, Cortland
• NCGA-West Regional: Oshkosh, Whitewater
• Elevate the Stage Huntsville: California

Elizabeth (Last Week: 5-0; Overall: 35-10)

• NCGA-East Regional: Brockport, Rhode Island College
• NCGA-West Regional: Whitewater, Oshkosh
• Elevate the Stage Huntsville: California

Emily M (Last Week: 4-1; Overall: 33-12)

• NCGA-East Regional: Brockport, Rhode Island College
• NCGA-West Regional: Whitewater, Oshkosh
• Elevate the Stage Huntsville: California

Jenna (Last Week: 5-0; Overall: 34-11)

• NCGA-East Regional: Brockport, Cortland
• NCGA-West Regional: Whitewater, Oshkosh
• Elevate the Stage Huntsville: California

Rebecca (Last Week: 5-0; Overall: 36-9)

• NCGA-East Regional: Brockport, Rhode Island College
• NCGA-West Regional: Whitewater, La Crosse
• Elevate the Stage Huntsville: California

Week 10 Guest: Naomi

• NCGA-East Regional: Brockport, Rhode Island College
• NCGA-West Regional: Whitewater, Oshkosh
• Elevate the Stage Huntsville: California

Want to join in on the predictions? Tag us on social media with your picks then tune into the meets to see how well you do!

How to Watch

Looking for more info on how to watch your favorite gymnasts and teams in action? Head to our master schedule for all the scoring, video, and live blog links, or head to our annual “How to Watch” article to see what platforms you have access to with various streaming services.

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Article by the editors of College Gym News