Welcome to conference championship week! It is the final week for teams to improve their NQS going into postseason, so there are many storylines to follow. Let’s get right into it with a bracket projection!
Regionals Projection: Teams
Pennsylvania
Washington
Alabama
Utah
1. Oklahoma
2. LSU
3. Florida
4. Utah
8. Kentucky
7. Missouri
6. California
5. UCLA
9. Michigan State
10. Georgia
11. Oregon State
12. Auburn
16. Arkansas
15. Minnesota
13. Alabama
14. Stanford
17. Michigan
20. Nebraska
19. N.C. State
18. Denver
22. Ohio State
21. Arizona
25. North Carolina
23. Southern Utah
27. Penn State
24. Arizona State
26. Clemson
29. Boise State
34. West Virginia
28. Iowa
30. Maryland
32. Utah State
35. Towson
36. Central Michigan
31. Illinois
33. BYU
No. 13 Alabama is grouped with No. 4 Utah in the standard bracket arrangement of the top 16 teams, but since both are hosts that creates a conflict, so we switched Alabama with Stanford. As always, teams in bold are assigned to the region in question due to being located within 400 miles of the host; there are six such teams for only five spots at the Pennsylvania regional, so we elected to move Maryland elsewhere since it was the furthest distance out of the three in line for play-in spots. However, there are still three teams within 400 of miles of Salt Lake City ranked between No. 29 and No. 36, so in this bracket projection, it is unavoidable to send No. 28 Iowa to the first round.
Locked In: The Seeds
We typically only cover teams on the bubble for regionals qualification in this article, but since it is the last week before the bracket is finalized, we’ll break down some scenarios for teams that are locked into regionals as well. As always, scores in bold indicate performances that can no longer be dropped from the NQS calculation, crossed-out scores are the current season high, and we’ll calculate the team’s projected ranking (against the current standings) if it matches or exceeds its season-high this weekend. In some cases, we’ll also provide the score a team needs to reach a certain goal, which can be anything from locking in the No. 1 overall seed to securing a place in the regionals field. We’ll start with the current top 16, which have all locked-seeded spots in the final bracket, as no team ranked lower than that is capable of rising into the top 16 this weekend.
No. 1 Oklahoma
Current NQS
198.040
Highest three road scores
198.475, 198.050, 197.950
Other NQS scores
198.200, 198.075, 197.925*
NQS with season high this weekend
198.150
Highest possible ranking
1
Lowest possible ranking
3
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 2 LSU
Current NQS
198.005
Highest three road scores
198.200, 198.125, 197.650*
Other NQS scores
198.575, 198.050, 198.000
NQS with season high this weekend
198.190
Highest possible ranking
1
Lowest possible ranking
3
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 3 Florida
Current NQS
197.860
Highest three road scores
198.025, 197.575, 197.450*
Other NQS scores
198.625, 198.125, 198.125
NQS with season high this weekend
198.095
Highest possible ranking
1
Lowest possible ranking
3
Meets remaining
1 road
Oklahoma has held the top spot in the rankings the entire season, but it is in danger of giving that up at the last moment to either LSU or Florida. Both teams have higher season highs and lower scores to drop than Oklahoma, so they have more potential to increase their NQS totals. Oklahoma can guarantee staying ahead of Florida by scoring at least a 198.225 at the SEC championship, but it is LSU who controls its own destiny; if the Tigers score 198.400, they will rise to No. 1 no matter what the other two teams do.
No. 4 Utah
Current NQS
197.670
Highest three road scores
197.950, 197.425, 197.225*
Other NQS scores
198.100, 198.075, 197.675
NQS with season high this weekend
197.845
Highest possible ranking
4
Lowest possible ranking
5
Meets remaining
1 road
As a regionals host, Utah knows it will stay at home in Salt Lake City, but its competition and ranking within that field is not yet determined. The Utes can guarantee being the highest-ranked team in SLC, which would put them in the evening session in the second round, by scoring a 197.300.
No. 5 UCLA
Current NQS
197.600
Highest three road scores
197.950, 197.550, 197.550
Other NQS scores
197.675, 197.675, 197.550*
NQS with season high this weekend
197.680
Highest possible ranking
4
Lowest possible ranking
7
Meets remaining
1 road
The two most likely destinations for UCLA are Salt Lake City and Tuscaloosa, though the other locations cannot yet be ruled out. The second-seeded team in Tuscaloosa will have to fend off a lower-ranked Crimson Tide at home, so UCLA fans may be better off hoping for a Salt Lake City appearance instead. The Bruins can guarantee a No. 5 ranking—which would send them to SLC—with a 197.825 on Saturday.
No. 6 California
Current NQS
197.515
Highest three road scores
197.675, 197.275, 197.200*
Other NQS scores
197.775, 197.750, 197.675
NQS with season high this weekend
197.630
Highest possible ranking
5
Lowest possible ranking
7
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 7 Missouri
Current NQS
197.470
Highest three road scores
197.800, 197.725, 197.200
Other NQS scores
198.100, 197.425, 197.200*
NQS with season high this weekend
197.650
Highest possible ranking
5
Lowest possible ranking
7
Meets remaining
1 road
California and Missouri are in a similar position to UCLA, as a No. 5 ranking is likely more enviable than No. 6 or No. 7 in order to avoid facing Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Neither team can lock in that spot, but Cal can give itself a chance with a 197.650, and Missouri can make it possible with a 197.875.
No. 8 Kentucky
Current NQS
197.315
Highest three road scores
197.725, 197.225, 197.150*
Other NQS scores
197.925, 197.300, 197.175
NQS with season high this weekend
197.470
Highest possible ranking
7
Lowest possible ranking
11
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 9 Michigan State
Current NQS
197.290
Highest three road scores
197.200, 197.150*, 197.150
Other NQS scores
197.500, 197.475, 197.475
NQS with season high this weekend
197.360
Highest possible ranking
8
Lowest possible ranking
12
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 10 Georgia
Current NQS
197.210
Highest three road scores
197.350, 197.200, 197.175
Other NQS scores
197.975, 197.200, 197.125*
NQS with season high this weekend
197.380
Highest possible ranking
8
Lowest possible ranking
13
Meets remaining
1 road
Kentucky, Michigan State, and Georgia all have wide ranges of possible rankings after this weekend’s competition, and all are capable of being the second-seeded team in a regional. Of these three, Kentucky is the only one that can guarantee a top-eight ranking, as a 197.500 would guarantee a higher ranking than the other two. Georgia can guarantee a top-12 ranking with a 197.675.
No. 11 Oregon State
Current NQS
197.175
Highest three road scores
197.025, 196.975, 196.950
Other NQS scores
197.700, 197.600, 197.325*
NQS with season high this weekend
197.250
Highest possible ranking
10
Lowest possible ranking
15
Meets remaining
1 home
No. 12 Auburn
Current NQS
197.170
Highest three road scores
197.750, 197.150, 196.825*
Other NQS scores
197.550, 197.300, 197.025
NQS with season high this weekend
197.355
Highest possible ranking
8
Lowest possible ranking
15
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 13 Alabama
Current NQS
197.160
Highest three road scores
197.650, 197.050, 196.875*
Other NQS scores
197.450, 197.350, 197.075
NQS with season high this weekend
197.315
Highest possible ranking
8
Lowest possible ranking
15
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 14 Stanford
Current NQS
197.105
Highest three road scores
197.400, 197.100, 196.975*
Other NQS scores
197.250, 197.175, 197.025
NQS with season high this weekend
197.190
Highest possible ranking
11
Lowest possible ranking
15
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 15 Minnesota
Current NQS
197.095
Highest three road scores
197.375, 197.325, 196.800*
Other NQS scores
197.150, 197.125, 197.075
NQS with season high this weekend
197.210
Highest possible ranking
10
Lowest possible ranking
15
Meets remaining
1 road
There is less than a tenth of a point between No. 11 and No. 15 going into conference championship weekend, so this is a part of the bracket where we may see some movement. While there are some scenarios that would make it possible for some of these teams to enter the top 10, the highest ranking that can be guaranteed for any of them is No. 11—Auburn is capable of that with a 197.600.
No. 16 Arkansas
Current NQS
197.055
Highest three road scores
197.725, 197.050, 196.400
Other NQS scores
197.425, 197.225, 197.175
NQS with season high this weekend
N/A
Highest possible ranking
16
Lowest possible ranking
16
Meets remaining
None
As the lowest-ranked SEC team, Arkansas did not make the SEC championship field and will be staying at home this weekend. The silver lining is that no lower-ranked team is mathematically capable of catching the Razorbacks, so their spot as the last seeded team is secured.
Locked In: Safe from the Play-In Round
This middle group of teams is locked into a regionals position but cannot break into the top 16. They are also safe from the play-in round.
No. 17 Michigan
Current NQS
196.860
Highest three road scores
196.975, 196.900, 196.900
Other NQS scores
197.100, 196.850, 196.675*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.945
Highest possible ranking
17
Lowest possible ranking
18
Meets remaining
1 home
No. 18 Denver
Current NQS
196.735
Highest three road scores
197.525, 196.750, 196.475*
Other NQS scores
197.125, 196.700, 196.625
NQS with season high this weekend
196.945
Highest possible ranking
17
Lowest possible ranking
19
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 19 N.C. State
Current NQS
196.650
Highest three road scores
196.675, 196.675, 196.350*
Other NQS scores
197.025, 197.000, 196.550
NQS with season high this weekend
196.785
Highest possible ranking
18
Lowest possible ranking
19
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 20 Nebraska
Current NQS
196.535
Highest three road scores
196.750, 196.675, 196.500
Other NQS scores
196.700, 196.450, 196.350*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.615
Highest possible ranking
20
Lowest possible ranking
21
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 21 Arizona
Current NQS
196.415
Highest three road scores
196.650, 196.125, 196.125*
Other NQS scores
196.775, 196.775, 196.400
NQS with season high this weekend
196.545
Highest possible ranking
20
Lowest possible ranking
26
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 22 Ohio State
Current NQS
196.395
Highest three road scores
196.425, 196.325, 196.300
Other NQS scores
196.875, 196.650, 196.275*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.515
Highest possible ranking
21
Lowest possible ranking
26
Meets remaining
1 road
No. 23 Southern Utah
Current NQS
196.315
Highest three road scores
196.650, 196.175, 196.125*
Other NQS scores
196.900, 196.475, 196.150
NQS with season high this weekend
196.470
Highest possible ranking
21
Lowest possible ranking
28
Meets remaining
1 road
At first glance, Southern Utah could be considered to be in danger of falling into the play-in range since No. 28 is not necessarily safe this year. However, SUU is one of four teams ranked between No. 17 and No. 36 located within 400 miles of Salt Lake City, and two of them (Utah State and BYU) are guaranteed to be ranked lower. Therefore, SUU will not be competing in the first round.
Locked In: Avoiding the Play-In Round
This group of teams is locked into a regionals position but is on the bubble for the play-in round.
No. 24 Arizona State
Current NQS
196.310
Highest three road scores
196.800, 196.250, 196.000*
Other NQS scores
196.600, 196.475, 196.225
NQS with season high this weekend
196.470
Highest possible ranking
21
Lowest possible ranking
28
Meets remaining
1 road
If Arizona State ends up ranked No. 27 or No. 28, it could be vulnerable to falling victim to this year’s geographical challenges in the bracket and end up competing in the first round. However, a lot would have to happen for the Sun Devils to fall that low, so it is unlikely. Still, they will want to guarantee a top-26 ranking by aiming for a 196.250.
No. 25 North Carolina
Current NQS
196.275
Highest three road scores
196.200, 196.150, 195.775*
Other NQS scores
196.750, 196.675, 196.575
NQS with season high this weekend
196.470
Highest possible ranking
21
Lowest possible ranking
29
Meets remaining
1 road
Similar to Arizona State, North Carolina’s best chances to avoid the play-in round would come with a ranking of No. 26 or higher; it can guarantee this by scoring a 196.200 on Saturday.
No. 26 Clemson
Current NQS
196.180
Highest three road scores
196.475, 196.225, 195.800*
Other NQS scores
196.575, 196.450, 195.950
NQS with season high this weekend
196.335
Highest possible ranking
23
Lowest possible ranking
30
Meets remaining
1 road
Clemson can guarantee at least a No. 28 ranking by scoring 196.325 at the ACC championship, but that may not be enough to avoid being sent to a play-in round, given the way geography may impact the bracket this year.
No. 27 Penn State
Current NQS
196.175
Highest three road scores
196.675, 196.150, 196.100
Other NQS scores
196.525, 196.325, 195.775*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.355
Highest possible ranking
23
Lowest possible ranking
30
Meets remaining
1 road
Similar to Southern Utah, Penn State could be one of the teams to benefit from geography this season, as there are currently three other regional-qualifying teams within 400 miles of the Pennsylvania regional with a lower ranking. However, since two of those teams are not guaranteed to make the field, the Nittany Lions will still want to aim for as high a ranking as possible in order to avoid the play-in around. The highest ranking they can guarantee is No. 27 by scoring at least a 196.600 on Saturday.
No. 28 Iowa
Current NQS
196.115
Highest three road scores
196.700, 196.350, 195.200*
Other NQS scores
197.025, 196.200, 196.125
NQS with season high this weekend
196.480
Highest possible ranking
21
Lowest possible ranking
32
Meets remaining
1 road
With almost two full points between its season high and the score that can be replaced, Iowa has a great opportunity to move up the rankings this weekend and avoid having to compete in the first round. In fact, the Hawkeyes could guarantee a No. 23 ranking by scoring at least a 197.000 on Saturday. If they don’t reach that total, a 196.425 would still be enough to guarantee a top-26 ranking, which would likely keep them out of the first round.
No. 29 Boise State
Current NQS
196.105
Highest three road scores
196.300, 195.975, 195.900*
Other NQS scores
196.775, 196.425, 195.925
NQS with season high this weekend
196.280
Highest possible ranking
25
Lowest possible ranking
32
Meets remaining
1 road
In the current bracket projection, Boise State is benefiting from geography since there are two other teams within 400 miles of Salt Lake City with a lower ranking, giving the Broncos a first-round bye. However, BYU is capable of catching their current NQS this weekend, so they are not out of danger. A 196.025 would guarantee BYU cannot pass, which would give Boise State a first-round bye.
No. 30 Maryland
Current NQS
196.030
Highest three road scores
196.325, 196.150, 195.950
Other NQS scores
196.175, 196.125, 195.750*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.145
Highest possible ranking
28
Lowest possible ranking
33
Meets remaining
1 road
Maryland’s likelihood of avoiding the first round seems to be dwindling, as even if there are multiple other Pennsylvania regional-proximity teams who end up ranked lower than the Terps, chances are high that they (or one of the other teams) would just be moved to a play-in spot at another regional.
No. 31 Illinois
Current NQS
195.965
Highest three road scores
196.200, 195.900, 195.300*
Other NQS scores
196.675, 196.275, 196.150
NQS with season high this weekend
196.240
Highest possible ranking
26
Lowest possible ranking
35
Meets remaining
1 road
Illinois is locked into the regionals field, but the chances of earning a first-round bye are pretty slim—the Illini should aim for a 196.400, which would give them a chance at passing Clemson.
No. 32 Utah State
Current NQS
195.950
Highest three road scores
196.475, 196.000, 195.875
Other NQS scores
196.300, 195.850, 195.725*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.100
Highest possible ranking
30
Lowest possible ranking
36
Meets remaining
1 road
Utah State is guaranteed to be in a play-in meet.
No. 33 BYU
Current NQS
195.920
Highest three road scores
196.325, 195.900, 195.825
Other NQS scores
196.775, 195.800, 195.750*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.125
Highest possible ranking
28
Lowest possible ranking
36
Meets remaining
1 road
BYU’s only shot at avoiding the first round is by passing Boise State in the rankings. A 196.700 would give the Cougars a shot at this, but it will also depend on what the Broncos score.
The Regionals Bubble
At this point last year we only had three teams on the bubble, but this year we have 12. There will be plenty to watch this weekend!
No. 34 West Virginia
Current NQS
195.855
Highest three road scores
196.275, 196.125, 196.000
Other NQS scores
195.850, 195.825, 195.475*
NQS with season high this weekend
196.015
Highest possible ranking
31
Lowest possible ranking
37
Meets remaining
1 road
West Virginia is the highest-ranked team that is not guaranteed to remain in the regional field, but securing the spot is well within reach. A 195.575 on Saturday would guarantee regionals qualification, and the Mountaineers have exceeded that number in their last four meets.
No. 35 Towson
Current NQS
195.820
Highest three road scores
195.975, 195.800, 195.650
Other NQS scores
196.400, 196.075, 195.600*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.980
Highest possible ranking
31
Lowest possible ranking
38
Meets remaining
1 road
Towson needs to score 195.875 to guarantee a top-36 ranking, a total the Tigers have only reached once on the road this year. If they do not reach that number, their fate will be determined by the scores Rutgers, UC Davis, and Ball State put up in their respective conference championship meets.
No. 36 Central Michigan
Current NQS
195.665
Highest three road scores
195.850, 195.750, 195.600
Other NQS scores
196.000, 195.625, 195.500*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.765
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
45
Meets remaining
1 home
While Central Michigan is currently in the top 36, it is very unlikely it will stay there. The Chippewas cannot improve their ranking this weekend and will have to hope none of the nine teams ranked below them score high enough to move past.
No. 37 Iowa State
Current NQS
195.660
Highest three road scores
196.100, 195.650, 195.375*
Other NQS scores
195.825, 195.775, 195.675
NQS with season high this weekend
195.805
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
45
Meets remaining
1 road
There is no score that would guarantee Iowa State a spot in the regional field, but the Cyclones can improve their chances by scoring at least a 196.100, which would guarantee a higher ranking than Central Michigan, Washington, George Washington, Illinois State, Kent State, and Pittsburgh.
No. 38 UC Davis
Current NQS
195.645
Highest three road scores
195.925, 195.800, 195.300
Other NQS scores
196.300, 196.025, 195.175*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.870
Highest possible ranking
34
Lowest possible ranking
46
Meets remaining
1 road
UC Davis has a higher ceiling than Iowa State and can give itself a chance at passing West Virginia by scoring at least 196.250 this weekend. However, the Aggies cannot guarantee their spot at regionals and will have to hope other teams in contention falter.
No. 39 Washington
Current NQS
195.630
Highest three road scores
195.700, 195.650, 195.500
Other NQS scores
196.125, 195.875, 195.425*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.770
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
46
Meets remaining
1 road
Washington can guarantee a higher ranking than Central Michigan by scoring a 196.125 on Friday, but that is all the Huskies can control in their attempt to send a full team to their home regional.
No. 40 Rutgers
Current NQS
195.625
Highest three road scores
196.550, 196.275, 195.875
Other NQS scores
195.725, 195.350, 194.900*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.955
Highest possible ranking
32
Lowest possible ranking
46
Meets remaining
1 road
Out of the nine bubble teams on the outside looking in, Rutgers is the only one that controls its own destiny, as a 196.150 on Friday would guarantee a ranking in the top 36.
No. 41 George Washington
Current NQS
195.555
Highest three road scores
195.800, 195.750, 195.475
Other NQS scores
196.550, 195.400, 195.350*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.795
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
48
Meets remaining
1 road
If George Washington scores a 196.450 this weekend, it will ensure a higher ranking than Central Michigan, Washington, Illinois State, and Kent State.
No. 42 Illinois State
Current NQS
195.545
Highest three road scores
196.150, 195.650, 195.200*
Other NQS scores
195.875, 195.725, 195.275
NQS with season high this weekend
195.735
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
48
Meets remaining
1 road
Illinois State’s chances of making regionals are very small, owing to the fact that its maximum possible NQS is lower than every other bubble team’s—but it is technically not impossible.
No. T-43 Pittsburgh
Current NQS
195.510
Highest three road scores
195.925, 195.650, 195.575
Other NQS scores
196.575, 195.275, 195.125*
NQS with season high this weekend
195.800
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
48
Meets remaining
1 road
With a repeat of its 196.575 season high this weekend, Pittsburgh would guarantee a higher ranking than Central Michigan, Washington, George Washington, Illinois State, and Kent State, but that would only ensure a ranking of at least No. 40; the Panthers will have to score as high as possible and hope the other teams don’t score high enough to pass them.
No. T-43 Kent State
Current NQS
195.510
Highest three road scores
195.650, 195.425, 195.200*
Other NQS scores
196.400, 195.925, 195.350
NQS with season high this weekend
195.750
Highest possible ranking
36
Lowest possible ranking
48
Meets remaining
1 road
The highest ranking Kent State can guarantee for itself is No. 44 (by scoring a 196.350), so the chances of making regionals are very small.
No. 45 Ball State
Current NQS
195.455
Highest three road scores
195.875, 195.275, 195.000*
Other NQS scores
196.900, 195.575, 195.550
NQS with season high this weekend
195.835
Highest possible ranking
35
Lowest possible ranking
48
Meets remaining
1 road
Ball State is in a better position to make regionals than Illinois State or Kent State, but that is largely thanks to its very high season high of 196.900, which the Cardinals have not come within a point of repeating. If they want any chance of qualifying as a team, they need a repeat performance of that season high while also hoping other teams in contention falter.
Regionals Projection: Individuals
We’ve simulated the individual qualification as if regionals were to start tomorrow in order to show who’s currently in a position to qualify and who is on the outside looking in. Keep in mind that teams participating in the play-in round at regionals are eligible to qualify as individuals, so team ranking changes can affect the pool of athletes eligible for this list. For the purposes of this projection, we’re assuming No. 28 Iowa would be participating in the first round rather than No. 29 Boise State.
Projected All-Around Qualifiers
Gymnast
School
Current NQS
Chloe Cho
No. 31 Illinois
39.375
Aurélie Tran
No. 28 Iowa
39.355
Maggie Slife
No. 53 Air Force
39.325
Amelia Moneymaker
No. 38 UC Davis
39.305
Delaney DeHaan
No. 41 George Washington
39.260
Isabella Minervini
No. 35 Towson
39.250
Luciana Alvarado-Reid
No. 36 Central Michigan
39.230
Zoe Middleton
No. 45 Ball State
39.155
Mary McDonough
No. 39 Washington
39.105
Taylor Ingle
No. 59 SEMO
39.080
Raisa Boris
No. 51 Eastern Michigan
39.075
Karina Muñoz
No. 28 Iowa
39.050
There is a tie for the alternate in this projection, with Penn’s Skyelar Kerico edging out Iowa State’s Josie Bergstrom-Te Slaa in the tiebreaker. This is important because Middleton is injured and would possibly forfeit her spot as a qualifier. Should North Carolina end up in the play-in round, Julia Knower would likely qualify as an all-arounder.
Projected Vault Qualifiers
Gymnast
School
Current NQS
Natalie Martin
No. 30 Maryland
9.885
Alana Laster
No. 42 Illinois State
9.870
Jaye Mack
No. 42 Illinois State
9.860
Keanna Abraham
No. 38 UC Davis
9.860
Arielle Ward
No. 31 Illinois
9.845
Josie Bergstrom-Te Slaa
No. 37 Iowa State
9.845
Kiera O’Shea
No. 56 Northern Illinois
9.845
Kylie Eaquinto
No. 33 BYU
9.840
Karleigh DiCello
No. 34 West Virginia
9.840
Halle Faulkner
No. 46 Western Michigan
9.840
Megan Ray
No. 38 UC Davis
9.835
Elizabeth Cesarone
No. 43 Pittsburgh
9.835
Charlie Behner
No. 43 Kent State
9.835
Sophia Rice
No. 34 West Virginia
9.835
Jah’Liyah Bedminster
No. 43 Pittsburgh
9.830
Nyla Morabito
No. 32 Utah State
9.830
Bedminster and Morabito beat out Nene Alvine (Kent State) in a tiebreaker for the final two spots, but Morabito is now out for the season with an Achilles injury, so she is likely to fall out of qualifying position this weekend. The next group in line to qualify is Deb Silva (BYU), Noelle Adams (Iowa State), Jordan Barrow (Penn), and Skyelar Kerico (Penn), who all have a 9.825 NQS. North Carolina’s JoJo Valahovic and Kaya Forbes would be likely qualifiers if their team ends up competing in the first round, as would Alyssa Vulaj (Boise State).
Projected Bars Qualifiers
Gymnast
School
Current NQS
Taylor Russon
No. 39 Washington
9.885
Lola Montevago
No. 41 George Washington
9.880
Ashley Szymanski
No. 45 Ball State
9.875
Skyelar Kerico
No. 47 Penn
9.875
Makayla Green
No. 31 Illinois
9.870
Brianna Brooks
No. 32 Utah State
9.865
Frédérique Sgarbossa
No. 37 Iowa State
9.860
Avery Bibbey
No. 32 Utah State
9.860
Kylie Eaquinto
No. 33 BYU
9.855
Sierra Kondo
No. 30 Maryland
9.850
Reese Samuelson
No. 46 Western Michigan
9.845
Sara Wabi
No. 42 Illinois State
9.840
Lundyn Vandertoolen
No. 32 Utah State
9.840
Clara Hong
No. 35 Towson
9.840
Anna Bramblett-Wilde
No. 33 BYU
9.835
Sarah Saville
No. 30 Maryland
9.835
There was a four-way tie for the final two spots on this list, with Kaitlyn Hoiland (Texas Woman’s) and Hailey Merchant (Maryland) missing out. Lali Dekanoidze (North Carolina) and Emily Lopez (Boise State) would be sure qualifiers if their teams end up competing in the first round.
Projected Beam Qualifiers
Gymnast
School
Current NQS
Brynlee Andersen
No. 33 BYU
9.905
Maddie Komoroski
No. 30 Maryland
9.890
Brianna Brooks
No. 32 Utah State
9.880
Taylor Russon
No. 39 Washington
9.875
Adeline Kenlin
No. 28 Iowa
9.870
Gabrielle Dildy
No. 40 Rutgers
9.870
Clara Hong
No. 35 Towson
9.865
Deana Sheremeta
No. 41 George Washington
9.865
Mimi Fletcher
No. 47 Penn
9.860
Sydney Jelen
No. 32 Utah State
9.855
Josie Bergstrom-Te Slaa
No. 37 Iowa State
9.850
Rachael Riley
No. 40 Rutgers
9.850
Madison Gustitus
No. 49 San Jose State
9.850
Chelsea Hallinan
No. 39 Washington
9.845
Alana Fisher
No. 51 Eastern Michigan
9.845
Heidi Schultz
No. 43 Kent State
9.840
On this event, there was a three-way tie for the final spot on the list, with Lola Montevago (George Washington) and Madison Dorunda (Temple) losing out to Schultz on the tiebreaker. Watch out for Ella Chemotti (Eastern Michigan), who has a chance to drop a 9.775 this weekend and a season-high of 9.925. Should Raisa Boris fall out of all-around qualification, she would be a possible qualifier on beam. Gwen Fink (North Carolina), JoJo Valahovic (North Carolina), Jessica Naranjo (North Carolina), and Emily Lopez (Boise State) would likely join this list if their teams fail to secure the first-round bye.
Projected Floor Qualifiers
Gymnast
School
Current NQS
Emily Erb
No. 28 Iowa
9.910
Emily Innes
No. 39 Washington
9.910
Anna Leigh
No. 34 West Virginia
9.905
Kendall Whitman
No. 41 George Washington
9.900
Haylee Hardin
No. 37 Iowa State
9.895
Alyssa Guns
No. 43 Kent State
9.890
Alana Laster
No. 42 Illinois State
9.875
Cassie St. Clair
No. 46 Western Michigan
9.875
Keanna Abraham
No. 38 UC Davis
9.870
Hanna Castillo
No. 28 Iowa
9.870
Emmalise Nock
No. 31 Illinois
9.865
Sara Wabi
No. 42 Illinois State
9.865
Noelle Adams
No. 37 Iowa State
9.865
Aine Reade
No. 54 New Hampshire
9.865
Nyla Morabito
No. 32 Utah State
9.865
Ella Tashjian
No. 55 Yale
9.865
We miraculously did not have to break any ties in this projection, but there is a 10-way tie at 9.860 NQS for the alternate spot. Eden King (Illinois) and Alexa Rothenbuescher (Maryland) are most likely to emerge from that 10-way tie to a qualifying position since they both have 9.800s available to drop this weekend. Out of the teams currently in a position for a first-round bye but possibly ending up in the play-in round, Brie Clark (Clemson) is the most likely qualifier on floor.
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