Largest Ranking Changes in the NCAA From 2018 to 2019

With the 2019 season behind us, it’s time to look back and see which teams improved the most between the 2018 and 2019 seasons. We looked at which teams had the most improvement in their overall ranking and NQS, as well as which conferences improved the most on average and how each team with a first-year head coach performed.

Largest Changes in Ranking

It’s no surprise that Oregon State was the team that increased it’s ranking the most, as it bounced back from a disappointing 27th place finish in 2018 to come within two tenths of making the NCAA finals in 2019. On a bittersweet note, the team with the second largest ranking increase was UIC, which moved up 17 spots from 54th in 2018 to nearly qualify for regionals in 2019, its last season ever.

Other notable rises in the rankings came from Denver and Minnesota, two teams that outperformed expectations in 2019, as well as Bridgeport, which bounced back from a rough 2018 season thanks to a strong freshman class.

On the opposite end of the spectrum, the three teams with the largest drops in the rankings were Pittsburgh, Sacramento State and Towson, who all struggled with depth throughout the 2019 season. 

Largest Changes in NQS

For many teams, looking at the change in the rankings doesn’t tell the whole story. In these cases, NQS gives a much better picture. This is especially true for the lower-ranked teams, which are often farther apart in NQS than the higher ranked teams, so a large change in NQS doesn’t equal a large change in the overall rankings. 

In general, as seen in the chart above, an increase in NQS led to an increase in ranking (and vice versa), but there are some notable exceptions in addition to the one mentioned above. Oregon State, for example, had the largest jump in the rankings, but its NQS actually decreased slightly from 2018 to 2019. This is a good example of a flaw in comparing NQS and ranking, as NQS does not take into account postseason performance. In the case of Oregon State, it ended the regular season in both 2018 and 2019 with a similar NQS, but its postseason performances were completely different.

The four teams with the most improvement in NQS were all DIII. Both UW-Stout and Rhode Island College set program records on every event and for the team total, and UW-Oshkosh and Gustavus Adolpus both had record breaking seasons of their own. Improvements in NQS was not the story for every DIII team, however, as four of the top five teams with the largest drops in NQS were also DIII teams. 

Alaska, the gymnternet’s cult favorite team, was the most improved DI team in this category with a nearly two and a half point jump in NQS. 

Largest Changes by Conference

The next point we compared was the average difference in ranking and NQS for each conference.

Conference Average Difference in Ranking Average Difference in NQS
Big 10 +1.700 +0.070
Big 12 +6.250 +0.141
EAGL -9.167 -0.897
ECAC +0.167 -0.194
ECAC II +4.333 +0.137
MAC -3.857 -0.451
MIC +4.333 -0.278
MPSF +0.167 -0.195
MRGC +0.250 -0.100
NCGA E -0.714 -0.504
Pac 12 +1.750 -0.121
SEC -1.750 +0.107
WIAC +0.286 -0.234

Unsurprisingly, the conference with the biggest improvement in both overall ranking and NQS was the Big 12. All four teams in this conference improved on their 2018 placements in the rankings, and Denver and Iowa State improved in NQS.

The EAGL, which had the overall largest improvement in rank between 2017 and 2018, had the largest drop in both the ranking and in NQS on average. 

Largest Changes From Teams With First-Year Head Coaches

In many cases, a head coach makes an immediate impact on the success of their team while in other cases, it can take longer. Still, it is interesting to look at how much impact a first year coach had on its team.

Team First Year Head Coach Difference in Ranking Difference in NQS
Cortland Sierra Day -3 -2.420
Nebraska Heather Brink -8 -0.165
RIC Monica Messalles Nassi 0 +2.935
Rutgers Umme Salim-Beasley +9 +0.455
San Jose State Joanne Bowers -4 -0.615
SEMO Ashley Lawson -7 -3.940
Temple Josh Nilson +2 -0.150
Ursinus Kim Parsons Valenti -2 -2.940

This year’s winner for most improved team with a first year head coach is Rutgers, whose rookie leader Umme Salim-Beasley helped the team improve nine spots in the rankings. This improvement is a good indication that Rutgers is going to be a team to watch in the coming years. 

For largest improvement in NQS, while Rhode Island College did not improve its overall ranking, its NQS improved by nearly three points thanks to a record-breaking season led by new head coach Monica Massalles Nassi.

Article by Mary Emma Burton

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One comment

  1. Major changes to redshirt rules in Division I football (both FBS and FCS) took effect from this season forward after having been approved by the NCAA Division I Council on June 13, 2018. Players can now participate in as many as four games in a season while still retaining redshirt status. This new rule does not apply to players who enroll at a school midyear and participate in postseason competition taking place during or before their first academic term at that school.

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