It’s time to start thinking about regionals. Yes, really. We have an NQS for nearly every team and individual. (For an explainer on all of your postseason questions, see our post here; there remains confusion around whether we’re calling it a national or regional qualifying score this year. We’re using NQS since that is what is on Road to Nationals as of publishing.) Note that per the NCAA, NQS must be carried out to four decimal places, which we do here.
Keeping track of which teams will qualify to regionals is usually pretty straightforward, but tracking the individuals is much more complicated. This year, we’ve started tracking individual scores in an effort to anticipate the decisive storylines and routines we need to watch in the last few weeks of the season.
A word on methodology: We don’t actually know which teams will qualify to regionals yet! Remember that individual qualifying to regionals applies to teams who finish the regular season outside of the top 28, i.e. those who advance straight to round two and don’t have to compete in a play-in. Since there are still so many moving parts with a month to go until regionals, we’re going to consider individuals from teams currently ranked outside that No. 28 team cutoff. Of course, some of these athletes’ teams will ultimately qualify, so we should all apply common sense and restraint in making predictions at this point. Note that we are using NQS scores as of today, which takes into account the scores from Monday’s meet between Stanford and Arizona State.
Bold names indicate the gymnasts who would qualify if the regular season were to end today. A double asterisk (**) indicates that a gymnast in a tie would lose the tie break (highest score not counted in the NQS).
All Around
2019’s regional qualifying NQS cutoff was 39.1650.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Denelle Pedrick | Central Michigan | 39.3550 | Three, two away | 39.275 |
| Lea Mitchell | Michigan State | 39.3050 | Three, two away | 39.225 |
| Hannah Joyner | Rutgers | 39.2350 | Four, two away | 39.050 |
| Jovannah East | Bowling Green | 39.1300 | Four, three away | 38.675 |
| Ariana Castrence | Temple | 39.1150 | Four, one away | 39.000 |
| Jada Rondeau | Eastern Michigan | 39.0850 | Three, three away | 38.950 |
| Elizabeth Culton | North Carolina | 38.9950 | Three, two away | 38.750 |
| Nyah Smith | Michigan State | 38.9950 | Three, two away | 38.575 |
| Anna Kaziska | SEMO | 38.9850 | Three, two away | 38.850 |
| Taylor Chan | San Jose State | 38.9650 | Three, two away | 38.775 |
| Julianna Roland | Bridgeport | 38.9550 | Three, three away | 38.750 |
| Dahlia Solorzano-Caruso | SEMO | 38.9350 | Three, two away | 38.650 |
Denelle Pedrick remains at the top of our list despite being unable to drop her low total last week. She’s joined at the top by Lea Mitchell, who debuts on our list after Michigan State slid a bit in the rankings this week, and into regionals playoff position. Hannah Joyner’s NQS jumped about a tenth, putting a little distance between her and the rest of the field. Ariana Castrence jumped Jada Rondeau, and both move up with Utah State’s (and Leighton Varnadore’s) jump into the top 28.
We also saw Angelica Labat fall out of the top group, sitting outside of current qualifying contention, and Dahlia Solorzano-Caruso join the leaders after a stellar double meet weekend. She still has two low scores to drop, and three meets to do it; watch to see if she shoots up the rankings. There’s a possibility that SEMO could have two individual all around qualifiers to regionals!
We’re still keeping our eyes on the group just behind the lead pack as well. Hannah Demers now has enough numbers for an NQS and is just outside of the qualifiers; with one very low number left to drop, she could easily jump into the middle of the pack next week. In addition to these gymnasts, Gabby Landess is another to watch–she has three scores of 39.200 or greater but is still counting two scores in the low 38s; with three meets left she could move into qualifying position with hit meets.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Hannah Demers | Central Michigan | 38.9200 | Three, two away | 38.200 |
| Belle Huang | Rutgers | 38.9050 | Four, two away | 38.550 |
| Angelica Labat | Illinois State | 38.9500 | Three, two away | 38.775 |
| Rachel Decavitch | Kent State | 38.8800 | Three, two away | 38.425 |
| Bria Northrop | Texas Woman’s | 38.8650 | Three, two away | 38.750 |
| Darian Burns | Seattle Pacific | 38.8650 | Two, two away | 38.825 |
| Riley Freehling | New Hampshire | 38.8400 | Three, two away | 38.650 |
| Jessica Meakim | West Chester | 38.8250 | Three, two away | 38.725 |
For the rest of this article, an asterisk next to a gymnast’s name indicates that she’s currently projected to be an all around qualifier; all arounders do not “take up” an event spot.
Vault
2019’s regional qualifying NQS cutoff was 9.8150.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Khazia Hislop | North Carolina | 9.9000 | Three, two away | 9.900 |
| Denelle Pedrick* | Central Michigan | 9.8550 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Deja Chambliss | George Washington | 9.8500 | Four, three away | 9.800 |
| Hannah Demers | Central Michigan | 9.8500 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Sydney Jennings | Ohio State | 9.8500 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Alexsis Rubio | Maryland | 9.8500 | Five, four away | 9.825 |
| Gabriela Bouza | Boise State | 9.8450 | Three, zero away | 9.825 |
| Mikayla Robinson | North Carolina | 9.8400 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Olivia Aepli | Ohio State | 9.8400 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Kaitlyn Hall | Rutgers | 9.8350 | Four, two away | 9.800 |
| Lauren Guerin | Iowa | 9.8350 | Five, three away | 9.800 |
| Ariana Castrence* | Temple | 9.8300 | Four, one away | 9.800 |
| Jovannah East* | Bowling Green | 9.8250 | Four, three away | 9.750 |
| Stefanie Schweikert | Ball State | 9.8250 | Four, three away | 9.800 |
| Marissa Nychyk | Ball State | 9.8250 | Four, three away | 9.775 |
| Alecia Petrikis | Pittsburgh | 9.8250 | Three, three away | 9.775 |
| Kylie Gorgenyi | New Hampshire | 9.8200 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Leighton Varnadore* | Utah State | 9.8200 | Four, two away | 9.750 |
| Abbie Pierson** | West Virginia | 9.8200 | Three, one away | 9.775 |
| Bri Slonim | Ball State | 9.8200 | Four, three away | 9.800 |
| Gabriella Douglas | Michigan State | 9.8200 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
This year’s qualification cutoff is already at a 9.8200, compared to last year’s 9.8150, though that could fluctuate based on which teams move in and out of the top 28 before the end of the regular season. Regardless, this is quite the competitive field! Deja Chambliss shot to the top of the pack with a 0.2000 increase in NQS. Likewise Sydney Jennings, who dropped a 9.700. Hannah Demers debuted on the list in qualifying contention. Iowa, on a bye, slipped into the regionals play-off ranking zone, and Lauren Guerin joined this list. Marissa Nychyk jumped into qualifying contention after dropping a 9.750, as did Alecia Petrikis after dropping a 9.700.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Daisy Woodring | Texas Woman’s | 9.8150 | Three, two away | 9.750 |
| Bridget Killian | Iowa | 9.8150 | Five, three away | 9.800 |
| Cydney Crasa | George Washington | 9.8050 | Four, three away | 9.800 |
| Julianna Roland | Bridgeport | 9.8050 | Three, three away | 9.750 |
| Gayla Griswold | Lindenwood | 9.8050 | Three, one away | 9.750 |
| Hannah Joyner* | Rutgers | 9.8000 | Four, two away | 9.775 |
| Lea Mitchell* | Michigan State | 9.8000 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Arden Hudson | Ball State | 9.7950 | Four, three away | 9.750 |
| Alecia Farina | Maryland | 9.7950 | Five, four away | 9.750 |
| Darian Burns | Seattle Pacific | 9.7700 | Two, two away | 9.700 |
| Rachel Decavitch | Kent State | 9.7650 | Three, two away | 9.700 |
| Sydney Williams | Central Michigan | 9.7550 | Three, two away | 9.650 |
Bars
2019’s regional qualifying NQS cutoff was 9.8350.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Emily Muhlenhaupt | Boise State | 9.9400 | Three, zero away | 9.925 |
| Olivia Aepli | Ohio State | 9.8800 | Three, two away | 9.850 |
| Colby Miller | Ohio State | 9.8800 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Jori Jackard | Michigan State | 9.8600 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Tiara Wright | Maryland | 9.8600 | Five, four away | 9.825 |
| Denelle Pedrick* | Central Michigan | 9.8550 | Three, two away | 9.850 |
| Michaela Burton | Pittsburgh | 9.8500 | Three, three away | 9.850 |
| Sofia Iribarren | Illinois State | 9.8450 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Maddi Nilson | Boise State | 9.8450 | Three, zero away | 9.825 |
| Shannon Farrell | Rutgers | 9.8400 | Four, two away | 9.825 |
| Jada Rondeau* | Eastern Michigan | 9.8350 | Three, three away | 9.800 |
| Gabriela Bouza | Boise State | 9.8350 | Three, zero away | 9.800 |
| Hannah Demers | Central Michigan | 9.8350 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Jenna Swartzentruber | Ohio State | 9.8350 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Lea Mitchell* | Michigan State | 9.8350 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Angelica Labat | Illinois State | 9.8300 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Cortney Bezold | Eastern Michigan | 9.8300 | Three, three away | 9.800 |
| Rachel Decavitch | Kent State | 9.8250 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Elizabeth Culton* | North Carolina | 9.8250 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Allyson Steffensmeier** | Iowa | 9.8200 | Five, three away | 9.775 |
| Kathryn Doran** | Bridgeport | 9.8200 | Four, three away | 9.750 |
| Amelia Mohler** | Western Michigan | 9.8200 | Three, one away | 9.800 |
| Tatum Bruden** | Boise State | 9.8200 | Three, zero away | 9.775 |
| Kianna Yancey | West Virginia | 9.8200 | Three, one away | 9.800 |
| Jada Rondeau* | Eastern Michigan | 9.8200 | Four, four away | 9.750 |
Olivia Aepli bursts onto our list in second place, and teammate Colby Miller scoots into third. Dropping a 9.750 moved Rachel Decavitch into a qualifying position. Kathryn Doran also dropped a low number and moved into contention, though she would currently lose a tie break for the final spot.
Anna Salamone dropped just out of a qualifying position, but with one quite low score still to drop, a strong performance could move her back into the thick of it. Courtney Mitchell was also unable to use an away meet to drop a score, and fell back out of the main pack. Note that Mei Li Costa and Jazmyn Estrella have much lower NQS’s than the rest of our watch list; they’re included because each has one extremely low total left to drop, and doing so should rocket them up the list.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Anna Salamone | Air Force | 9.8150 | Three, three away | 9.700 |
| Emma Milne | San Jose State | 9.8150 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Ariana Castrence* | Temple | 9.8150 | Four, one away | 9.775 |
| Nevin Adamski | Ohio State | 9.8100 | Three, two away | 9.750 |
| Esperanza Abarca | West Virginia | 9.8100 | Three, one away | 9.750 |
| Aleka Tsiknias | Maryland | 9.8000 | Five, four away | 9.750 |
| Courtney Mitchell | Lindenwood | 9.8050 | Three, one away | 9.775 |
| Zoe Schweitzer | Ohio State | 9.8050 | Three, two away | 9.750 |
| Kylie Gorgenyi | New Hampshire | 9.8000 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Sophia Hyderally | Alaska | 9.7950 | Two, two away | 9.725 |
| Morgan Hooper | Northern Illinois | 9.7950 | Three, two away | 9.750 |
| Simone Banen | George Washington | 9.7900 | Four, three away | 9.750 |
| Jacey Baldovino | Yale | 9.7850 | Three, three away | 9.725 |
| Mei Li Costa | Brown | 9.7350 | Four, three away | 9.400 |
| Jazmyn Estrella | Temple | 9.6950 | Four, one away | 9.100 |
Beam
2019’s regional qualifying NQS cutoff was 9.8350.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Hannah Joyner* | Rutgers | 9.9100 | Four, two away | 9.900 |
| Gabriella Douglas | Michigan State | 9.8850 | Three, two away | 9.850 |
| Michaela Burton | Pittsburgh | 9.8750 | Three, three away | 9.850 |
| Mia Lord | Northern Illinois | 9.8700 | Three, two away | 9.850 |
| Alyssa Worthington | New Hampshire | 9.8650 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Morgan Tong | Central Michigan | 9.8650 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Anna Kaziska* | SEMO | 9.8450 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Alyssa Ito | UC Davis | 9.8450 | Three, one away | 9.825 |
| Sophia Hyderally | Alaska | 9.8400 | Two, two away | 9.750 |
| Emma Milne | San Jose State | 9.8400 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Denelle Pedrick* | Central Michigan | 9.8400 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Amelia Mohler | Western Michigan | 9.8350 | Three, one away | 9.825 |
| Ella Hodges | Ohio State | 9.8350 | Three, one away | 9.800 |
| Caitlin Satler | Eastern Michigan | 9.8300 | Three, three away | 9.775 |
| Hannah Cohen | George Washington | 9.8300 | Four, three away | 9.775 |
| Hope Masiado | Boise State | 9.8300 | Three, zero away | 9.800 |
| Jovannah East* | Bowling Green | 9.8250 | Four, three away | 9.775 |
| Jada Rondeau* | Eastern Michigan | 9.8250 | Three, three away | 9.775 |
| Hailey Lui | New Hampshire | 9.8250 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Tiara Wright | Maryland | 9.8250 | Five, four away | 9.800 |
| Elizabeth Culton* | North Carolina | 9.8250 | Three, two away | 9.725 |
| Amber Koeth | Sacramento State | 9.8250 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
This is the list that changed the most drastically, as gymnasts were able to drop low totals and move up on others who couldn’t capitalize or had a lower potential climb. Notably, Michaela Burton moved up significantly and is in a very sure spot, as are Mia Lord (who makes her NQS debut), Alyssa Worthington and Morgan Tong. Sophia Hyderally makes her NQS debut in qualifying position with one low score still to drop; she is in a solid place.
Isabella Amado and Khazia Hislop both fall out of qualifying position this week. Hislop is concerning because her counting scores are all 9.800 or 9.825 with one 9.875 dropped; she will need to start receiving higher scores in order to have a shot at qualifying on beam. Erin McLachlan is another to keep an eye on; she has three scores of 9.875 or higher so is in a great position to qualify if she can drop a 9.750 and a 9.675 over her remaining four meets.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Maya Reimers | Bridgeport | 9.8150 | Three, three away | 9.750 |
| Khazia Hislop | North Carolina | 9.8150 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Isabella Amado | Boise State | 9.8150 | Three, zero away | 9.700 |
| Lea Mitchell* | Michigan State | 9.8150 | Three, two away | 9.750 |
| Arden Hudson | Ball State | 9.8100 | Four, three away | 9.750 |
| Emma Firmstone | Yale | 9.8100 | Three, three away | 9.775 |
| Delaney Garin | Temple | 9.8050 | Four, one away | 9.750 |
| Julianna Roland* | Bridgeport | 9.8050 | Three, three away | 9.775 |
| Emili Dobronics | Eastern Michigan | 9.8050 | Three, three away | 9.750 |
| Erin McLachlan | Rutgers | 9.8000 | Four, two away | 9.675 |
| Hannah Nam | North Carolina | 9.8000 | Three, two away | 9.775 |
| Morgan Hooper | Northern Illinois | 9.8000 | Three, two away | 9.700 |
| Erin Elkabchi | Boise State | 9.8000 | Three, zero away | 9.750 |
| Chelsey Andrada | San Jose State | 9.8000 | Three, two away | 9.725 |
Floor
2019’s regional qualifying NQS cutoff was 9.8700.
| Gymnast | School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS |
| Maya Reimers | Bridgeport | 9.9150 | Three, three away | 9.875 |
| Lauren Guerin | Iowa | 9.9050 | Five, three away | 9.875 |
| Taylor Chan* | San Jose State | 9.8950 | Three, two away | 9.875 |
| Claire Gagliardi | Ohio State | 9.8950 | Three, two away | 9.875 |
| Khazia Hislop | North Carolina | 9.8950 | Three, two away | 9.875 |
| Claudia Goyco | Ball State | 9.8850 | Four, three away | 9.875 |
| Denelle Pedrick* | Central Michigan | 9.8850 | Three, two away | 9.875 |
| Emma Winer | New Hampshire | 9.8700 | Three, two away | 9.850 |
| Olivia Aepli | Ohio State | 9.8650 | Three, two away | 9.850 |
| Ashley Hofelich | Michigan State | 9.8650 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Darian Burns | Seattle Pacific | 9.8600 | Two, two away | 9.825 |
| Mikayla Robinson | North Carolina | 9.8860 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Belle Huang | Rutgers | 9.8550 | Four, two away | 9.850 |
| Tara Kofmehl | Northern Illinois | 9.8550 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Sabriyya Rouse | Maryland | 9.8550 | Five, four away | 9.825 |
| Chloe Cluchey | West Virginia | 9.8550 | Three, one away | 9.800 |
| Reese McClure | Maryland | 9.8550 | Five, four away | 9.800 |
| Anna Kaziska* | SEMO | 9.8500 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Jovannah East* | Bowling Green | 9.8500 | Five, four away | 9.825 |
| Emili Dobronics | Eastern Michigan | 9.8500 | Three, three away | 9.825 |
Darian Burns dropped a 9.725 this week and joined the “you would qualify if regular season ended today” club. Tara Kofmehl did the same, after dropping a 9.750. There wasn’t a ton of movement over last week on floor, despite some reshuffling in the pack leaders.
| School | Current NQS | Remaining Meets | Low score to drop currently counted in NQS | |
| Isabel Goyco | Texas Woman’s | 9.8450 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Cydney Crasa | George Washington | 9.8450 | Four, three away | 9.825 |
| Bria Northrop | Texas Woman’s | 9.8400 | Three, two away | 9.800 |
| Jade Brown | Kent State | 9.8400 | Three, two away | 9.825 |
| Hailey Lui | New Hampshire | 9.8350 | Four, three away | 9.775 |
| Kendra Combs | West Virginia | 9.8400 | Three, one away | 9.800 |
| Stacie Harrison | Western Michigan | 9.8350 | Three, one away | 9.800 |
| Ronni Binstock | Western Michigan | 9.8350 | Three, one away | 9.825 |
Teams on the Cusp
So far we’ve only listed gymnasts on teams ranked outside of the top 28, but it is a realistic possibility that these team rankings will change before the end of the postseason. Let’s take a look at gymnasts on teams ranked between 25 and 28 that could qualify as individuals should their teams find themselves ranked lower come postseason.
| Name | School | Event | Current NQS |
| Kyla Bryant | Stanford | All Around | 39.2950 |
| Kyla Bryant | Stanford | Vault | 9.8250 |
| Kyla Bryant | Stanford | Bars | 9.8400 |
| Kyla Bryant | Stanford | Beam | 9.8300 |
| Kyla Bryant | Stanford | Floor | 9.9150 |
| Chloe Widner | Stanford | Vault | 9.8200 |
| Chloe Widner | Stanford | Beam | 9.8500 |
| Taylor Lawson | Stanford | Beam | 9.8250 |
| Morgan Hoang | Stanford | Floor | 9.8500 |
| Lauren Bridgens | Penn State | All Around | 39.2500 |
| Lauren Bridgens | Penn State | Bars | 9.8650 |
| Lauren Bridgens | Penn State | Floor | 9.8800 |
| Cassidy Rushlow | Penn State | All Around | 39.1300 |
| Cassidy Rushlow | Penn State | Bars | 9.8350 |
| Cassidy Rushlow | Penn State | Beam | 9.8550 |
| Alissa Bonsall | Penn State | Vault | 9.8200 |
| Alissa Bonsall | Penn State | Bars | 9.8450 |
| Tess McCracken | Penn State | Beam | 9.8200 |
| Sofi Sullivan | Utah State | All Around | 39.1200 |
| Sofi Sullivan | Utah State | Beam | 9.8950 |
| Leighton Varnadore | Utah State | All Around | 39.1150 |
| Leighton Varnadore | Utah State | Vault | 9.8200 |
| Leighton Varnadore | Utah State | Floor | 9.8550 |
| Grace Rojas | Utah State | Bars | 9.8200 |
| Autumn DeHarde | Utah State | Beam | 9.8950 |
| Autumn DeHarde | Utah State | Floor | 9.8800 |
| Juliette Boyer | Arizona State | All Around | 38.9550 |
| Hannah Scharf | Arizona State | Vault | 9.8600 |
| Gracie Reeves | Arizona State | Vault | 9.8250 |
| Cairo Leonard-Baker | Arizona State | Bars | 9.8900 |
| Jessica Ginn | Arizona State | Floor | 9.8600 |
Article by Rebecca Scally, Emily Minehart and Jenna King
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